| P1 · Flow (top 30d PnL) | ||||||
| # | trader | 30d PnL | win 30d | copy | 30d vol | last |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ••••••• | $5.02M | 66.7% | 4.0 | $4.92M | +0d |
| 2 | ••••••• | $4.55M | 74.3% | 4.6 | $8.56M | +0d |
| 3 | ••••••• | $3.99M | 78.6% | 4.0 | $20.75M | +8d |
| 4 | ••••••• | $1.99M | 44.4% | 4.0 | $15.04M | +16d |
| 5 | ••••••• | $1.49M | 60.6% | 3.3 | $4.91M | +0d |
| 6 | ••••••• | $1.28M | 26.7% | 4.0 | $8.13M | +1d |
| 7 | ••••••• | $1.10M | 47.3% | 3.9 | $6.90M | +0d |
| 8 | ••••••• | $1.02M | 56.4% | 3.7 | $3.54M | +0d |
| 9 | ••••••• | $990.5K | 49.5% | 3.9 | $22.43M | +0d |
| 10 | ••••••• | $979.5K | 45.5% | 4.9 | $2.23M | +11d |
| P2 · Sharps (win-rate) | ||||||
| # | trader | 30d PnL | win 30d | copy | 30d vol | last |
| 1 | ••••••• | $198.8K | 98.0% | 4.0 | $1.62M | +1d |
| 2 | ••••••• | $223.5K | 87.9% | 3.6 | $935.5K | +1d |
| 3 | ••••••• | $370.8K | 85.7% | 3.9 | $1.39M | +3d |
| 4 | ••••••• | $164.4K | 82.0% | 3.7 | $2.81M | +0d |
| 5 | ••••••• | $229.3K | 78.4% | 4.0 | $1.92M | +0d |
| 6 | ••••••• | $762.5K | 77.8% | 4.0 | $752.9K | +0d |
| 7 | ••••••• | $344.2K | 76.4% | 3.8 | $1.10M | +0d |
| 8 | ••••••• | $315.3K | 75.0% | 4.0 | $3.57M | +7d |
| 10 | ••••••• | $234.4K | 73.7% | 4.0 | $2.08M | +0d |
| P3 · Efficient (copyability) | ||||||
| # | trader | 30d PnL | win 30d | copy | 30d vol | last |
| 1 | ••••••• | $372.1K | 61.2% | 6.2 | $4.60M | +0d |
| 2 | ••••••• | $319.5K | 50.0% | 5.9 | $326.2K | +4d |
| 3 | ••••••• | $184.4K | 57.1% | 5.7 | $5.02M | +0d |
| 4 | ••••••• | $476.5K | 62.2% | 5.4 | $2.78M | +0d |
| 5 | ••••••• | $261.6K | 53.1% | 5.2 | $7.74M | +0d |
| 6 | ••••••• | $199.6K | 66.0% | 5.1 | $1.78M | +0d |
| 7 | ••••••• | $260.6K | 52.9% | 5.0 | $1.72M | +0d |
| 8 | ••••••• | $224.0K | 62.5% | 4.9 | $1.57M | +0d |
| 10 | ••••••• | $217.6K | 58.3% | 4.6 | $597.1K | +0d |
| sleeve | market | prediction | ends | shares | buy px | current px | buy value | mkt value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | |||||||||
| P3 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by Ju | No | ending | 182.57 | 0.408 | 0.031 | $74.59 | $5.66 | $-68.93 (-92.4%) |
| P3 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to | Yes | 14d | 92.28 | 0.297 | 0.225 | $27.39 | $20.76 | $-6.63 (-24.2%) |
| P3 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace d | No | ending | 73.67 | 0.952 | 0.976 | $70.12 | $71.87 | $1.75 (+2.5%) |
| P3 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by Ju | Yes | ending | 43.60 | 0.945 | 0.969 | $41.21 | $42.25 | $1.03 (+2.5%) |
| P3 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceas | No | ending | 27.89 | 0.968 | 0.986 | $27.00 | $27.50 | $0.50 (+1.9%) |
| P3 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to | Yes | 29d | 18.83 | 0.540 | 0.395 | $10.17 | $7.44 | $-2.73 (-26.9%) |
| Sports | |||||||||
| P1 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | ending | 91.25 | 0.654 | 0.001 | $59.71 | $0.05 | $-59.66 (-99.9%) |
| P1 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | No | ending | 84.97 | 0.376 | 1.000 | $31.97 | $84.92 | $52.95 (+165.6%) |
| P1 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) | Philadelphia Phillies | ending | 31.84 | 0.490 | 0.800 | $15.60 | $25.47 | $9.87 (+63.3%) |
| P1 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | No | 22h | 28.30 | 0.470 | 0.495 | $13.30 | $14.01 | $0.71 (+5.3%) |
| P2 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | No | 22h | 87.68 | 0.340 | 0.335 | $29.81 | $29.37 | $-0.44 (-1.5%) |
| P3 | Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in | Yes | ending | 57.62 | 0.240 | 1.000 | $13.83 | $57.60 | $43.77 (+316.5%) |
| P3 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | No | ending | 45.42 | 0.360 | 1.000 | $16.35 | $45.39 | $29.04 (+177.6%) |
| P3 | Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in | No | ending | 36.05 | 0.770 | 0.001 | $27.76 | $0.02 | $-27.74 (-99.9%) |
| P3 | Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | No | ending | 24.83 | 0.580 | 1.000 | $14.40 | $24.82 | $10.42 (+72.3%) |
| P3 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | ending | 18.14 | 0.650 | 0.001 | $11.79 | $0.01 | $-11.78 (-99.9%) |
| P3 | Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 0 New Zeala | No | 22h | 14.62 | 0.840 | 0.835 | $12.28 | $12.21 | $-0.07 (-0.6%) |
| P3 | Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 1 New Zeala | No | 22h | 13.95 | 0.880 | 0.875 | $12.28 | $12.21 | $-0.07 (-0.6%) |
| sleeve | open | unrealized | realized | total P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 · Flow | 4 | $3.87 | $127.02 | $130.89 |
| P2 · Sharps | 1 | $-0.44 | $25.25 | $24.81 |
| P3 · Efficient | 13 | $-31.45 | $102.93 | $71.48 |
| legacy (pre-sleeve) | 0 | $0.00 | $270.72 | $270.72 |
| sleeve | signal | next open | analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
| E1 Basket | RISK-ON | EXECUTE | Iran peace deal; all basket names gap up Monday |
| E2 Momentum | BUY SOXL | EXECUTE | SOXL leads; semis surge on Iran/Hormuz resolution |
| E3 Iran fade | WAIT | skip | SPY +0.08% Friday; VIX flat—neither trigger met |
| sleeve | strategy | target | status | pos | P&L | lifetime P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E1 Basket | 6 tickers @3.2% (NTAP,MUU,SNDK,PENG,ARMG,IONL) | 19.2% | flat | 0 | $0.00 | $4.11 |
| E2 Momentum | best leveraged ETF: MUU/ARMG/IONL/SOXL | 22.5% | flat | 0 | $0.00 | $3.88 |
| E3 Iran escalation-fade | buy SMH when prior SPY <= -1% or VIX >= +15% | 10% | flat | 0 | $0.00 | $0.00 |