| sleeve | open | unrealized | realized | total P&L | W–L | win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 · Flow | 0 | $0.00 | $-102.24 | $-102.24 | 23–21 | 52% |
| P2 · Sharps | 4 | $-146.59 | $356.05 | $209.46 | 16–13 | 55% |
| P3 · Efficient | 0 | $0.00 | $-173.89 | $-173.89 | 29–20 | 59% |
| legacy (pre-sleeve) | 0 | $0.00 | $53.60 | $53.60 | 13–13 | 50% |
| sleeve | market | prediction | ends | shares | buy px | buy value | mkt value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | ||||||||
| P2 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | Yes | ending | 89.95 | 0.625 | $56.25 | $4.68 | $-51.57 (-91.7%) |
| Other | ||||||||
| P2 | No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 9h | 388.11 | 0.095 | $36.87 | $0.78 | $-36.05 (-97.9%) |
| Politics | ||||||||
| P2 | Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2? | No | 3d | 44.81 | 0.830 | $37.19 | $34.28 | $-2.91 (-7.8%) |
| Pop Culture | ||||||||
| P2 | Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week? | No | ending | 385.00 | 0.146 | $56.25 | $0.19 | $-56.06 (-99.7%) |
| sleeve | signal | next open | analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
| E1 Basket | RISK-ON | EXECUTE | SPY 741.00 vs 5d-SMA 734.22 (gate ON) |
| E2 Momentum | BUY IONL | EXECUTE | IONL leads +18.96% prior day |
| E3 Iran fade | WAIT | skip | SPY prior +1.65%, VIX ? (chg ?); no trigger |
| E4 Vol | WAIT | skip | SPY 741.0 vs 5dSMA 734.22 (A/B ON); prior-day 1.65% -> residual=False |
| sleeve | strategy | target | status | pos | P&L | lifetime P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E1 Basket | 6 tickers @3.2% (NTAP,MUU,SNDK,PENG,ARMG,IONL) | 19.2% | active | 5 | $0.27 | $-6.71 |
| E2 Momentum | best leveraged ETF: MUU/ARMG/IONL/SOXL | 22.5% | active | 1 | $0.19 | $18.59 |
| E3 Iran escalation-fade | buy SMH when prior SPY <= -1% or VIX >= +15% | 10% | flat | 0 | $0.00 | $0.82 |
| E4 Vol | residual-day VXX long | no-fire | flat | 0 | $0.00 | $-4.54 |
| symbol | qty | avg cost | current px | mkt value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PENG | 0.59 | $71.50 | $71.04 | $42.02 | $-0.27 (-0.6%) |
| NTAP | 0.27 | $154.45 | $154.73 | $41.59 | $0.07 (+0.2%) |
| ARMG | 1.11 | $37.40 | $38.60 | $42.85 | $1.33 (+3.2%) |
| IONL | 12.41 | $26.90 | $26.91 | $333.93 | $0.19 (+0.1%) |
| MUU | 0.04 | $1,058.20 | $1,039.32 | $41.54 | $-0.75 (-1.8%) |
| SNDK | 0.02 | $2,177.09 | $2,171.26 | $42.18 | $-0.11 (-0.3%) |
| sleeve | strategy | target | status | pos | P&L | lifetime P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C1 SOL | Donchian-24h breakdown short · disarmed | 5x · ≤$10/add · 50% cap | flat | 0 | $0.00 | $-8.80 |
| C2 DLMM LP | MLP1 bluechip chop / MLP2 memecoin bid-ask · scan-only | 50% cap | PAUSED | 0 | $0.00 | $-36.38 |
| C3A Moon | SCALP quick +10% momentum jump-ins · ARMED | $10/shot | 1 clean · 0/3 | 0 | $0.00 | $-19.32 |
| C3B Moon | CFAR confluence+anti-rebuy · ARMED | $10/shot | 1 clean · 0/3 | 0 | $0.00 | $-5.54 |
| C3C Moon | AR anti-rebuy · ARMED | $10/shot | 1 clean · 0/3 | 0 | $0.00 | $-4.31 |