| sleeve | open | unrealized | realized | total P&L | W–L | win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P1 · Flow | 0 | $0.00 | $-102.24 | $-102.24 | 23–21 | 52% |
| P2 · Sharps | 4 | $-147.08 | $356.05 | $208.97 | 16–13 | 55% |
| P3 · Efficient | 0 | $0.00 | $-173.89 | $-173.89 | 29–20 | 59% |
| legacy (pre-sleeve) | 0 | $0.00 | $53.60 | $53.60 | 13–13 | 50% |
| sleeve | market | prediction | ends | shares | buy px | buy value | mkt value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geopolitics | ||||||||
| P2 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | Yes | ending | 89.95 | 0.625 | $56.25 | $4.77 | $-51.48 (-91.5%) |
| Other | ||||||||
| P2 | No one announced as next James Bond? | No | ending | 388.11 | 0.095 | $36.87 | $0.19 | $-36.64 (-99.5%) |
| Politics | ||||||||
| P2 | Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2? | No | 2d | 44.81 | 0.830 | $37.19 | $34.28 | $-2.91 (-7.8%) |
| Pop Culture | ||||||||
| P2 | Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week? | No | ending | 385.00 | 0.146 | $56.25 | $0.19 | $-56.06 (-99.7%) |
| sleeve | signal | next open | analysis |
|---|---|---|---|
| E1 Basket | RISK-ON | EXECUTE | SPY 746.33 vs 5d-SMA 736.77 (gate ON) |
| E2 Momentum | BUY SOXL | EXECUTE | SOXL leads +12.85% prior day |
| E3 Iran fade | WAIT | skip | SPY prior +0.72%, VIX ? (chg ?); no trigger |
| E4 Vol | WAIT | skip | SPY 741.0 vs 5dSMA 734.22 (A/B ON); prior-day 1.65% -> residual=False |
| sleeve | strategy | target | status | pos | P&L | lifetime P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E1 Basket | 6 tickers @3.2% (NTAP,MUU,SNDK,PENG,ARMG,IONL) | 19.2% | flat | 0 | $0.00 | $-5.22 |
| E2 Momentum | best leveraged ETF: MUU/ARMG/IONL/SOXL | 22.5% | flat | 0 | $0.00 | $18.59 |
| E3 Iran escalation-fade | buy SMH when prior SPY <= -1% or VIX >= +15% | 10% | flat | 0 | $0.00 | $0.82 |
| E4 Vol | residual-day VXX long | no-fire | flat | 0 | $0.00 | $-4.54 |
| sleeve | strategy | target | status | pos | P&L | lifetime P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C1 SOL | Donchian-24h breakdown short · disarmed | 5x · ≤$10/add · 50% cap | flat | 0 | $0.00 | $-8.80 |
| C2 DLMM LP | MLP1 bluechip chop / MLP2 memecoin bid-ask · ARMED | 50% cap | LIVE 4/4 | 4 | $1.52 | $-33.84 |
| C3A Moon | SCALP quick +10% momentum jump-ins · ARMED | $10/shot | 0 clean · 0/3 | 0 | $0.00 | $-19.32 |
| C3B Moon | CFAR confluence+anti-rebuy · ARMED | $10/shot | 0 clean · 0/3 | 0 | $0.00 | $-5.54 |
| C3C Moon | AR anti-rebuy · ARMED | $10/shot | 0 clean · 0/3 | 0 | $0.00 | $-4.31 |
| sleeve | pool | range | mkt value | fees | APY | $/Hr | held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLP2 | EPjF-SOL | in range | $25.03 | $0.02 | 387% | $0.01 | 2.2h |
| MLP2 | C6kW-SOL | in range | $24.70 | $1.36 | 21963% | $0.62 | 2.2h |
| MLP1 | SOL-USDC | out of range | $25.09 | $0.04 | 2556% | $0.07 | 0.5h |
| MLP1 | SOL-USDC | in range | $25.04 | $0.10 | 7046% | $0.20 | 0.5h |